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张秋诗,Testing the Dimensionality of Policy Shocks,《REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS》,2024.03

论文名称:Testing the Dimensionality of Policy Shocks

作者:Li, J ; Todorov, V;张秋诗

刊名:REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS

发表时间:2024.03

This paper provides a nonparametric test for deciding thedimensionalityof a policy shock as manifest in the abnormal change in asset returns' stochastic covariance matrix, following the release of a macroeconomic announcement. We use high-frequency data in local windows before and after the event to estimate the covariance jump matrix and then test its rank. We find a one-factor structure in the covariance jump matrix ofthe yield curve resulting from the Federal Reserve's monetary policyshocks before the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Thedimensionalityofpolicyshocks increased afterwards because ofthe use of unconventional monetary policy tools.